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Will Khamenei get rid of Rouhani?

Khamenei and Rouhani
Deadlock between Iran's supreme guide Ali Khamenei, who has the final say over the Shiite country's policies, and President Hassan Rouhani, recently elected for a second term, is still overshadowing the relation between the two.

Insiders said Khamenei threatened to oust Rouhani, reminding him of the fate of Abul-Hassan Bani Sadr. Analysts also stated the crisis between the two reached an impasse since Rouhani refuses to yield to the supreme leader.

We can say nothing but that what is happening between the two sides is a deadlock…an impasse, they told the Baghdad Post. They added one of the two sides should take a one step back, lest it will be the end for both of them.

Early attacks 

There is nothing new in the current standoff between Khamenei and Rouhani since the latter, according to experts, does not see reformists in general his cup of tea.

He favored Raisi, Rouhani's rival, in the previous presidential elections, in which Rouhani won a landslide.

The interior ministry said Rouhani claimed 23.5 million votes, while his rival Ebrahim Raisi trailed on 15.8 million, after nearly three-quarters of the electorate cast their votes.

Weeks ahead of the election, Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has increased his criticisms of the policies endorsed by President Hassan Rouhani. 

A week after indirectly criticizing the president for suggesting that diplomacy had averted war, Khamenei criticized a United Nations education program that some conservative Iranian detractors say promotes gender equality.

“These are not things the Islamic Republic can carry on its shoulders and submit to them,” Khamenei said of Education 2030, which is a part of UNESCO's program to wipe out poverty through development.

In a speech he gave in the city of Mashhad, Khamenei also asserted that there are still “many problems,” such as increasing unemployment and low investment, referring to both of them as fundamental problems.

But his sharpest remarks are perhaps those delivered in a video message posted March 20 in which he says, “I am aware of the people’s situation; therefore, I can sense the bitterness of the people, especially the lower classes, from economic problems such as inflation, unemployment, discrimination, equality and social harms.”

Rouhani defies

Rouhani felt he is in strong position after the sweeping victory in the elections, according to analysts, who cited his remarks in which he said:"These victories were made due to the presence of the Iranian people who took the right decisions."

He added:"The people guided officials to the path of reform", noting the country needs more social cohesion.

If the state apparatuses do not cooperate, the people will not trust the ruling authorities, Rouhani continued. 

Things worsened after deputy speaker of the Iranian parliament said the people 'have the right to take up arms against illegal arrests. These remarks came in response to the repressive measures taken against students and journalists.

Commentators say these comments signals backs Rouhani in the face of conservatives in Khamenei's regime.

Based on this standoff, analysts assert the country is deeply polarized between two camps: Rouhani and those elected him, and the deep state led by Khamenei and his henchmen.

Yet, 88 lawmakers proposed a draft bill to question Rouhani under the dome of the parliament earlier next month.

Moot points

Experts told the Baghdad Post that Rouhani should show steadfastness till the end of this game.

He will lose those elected him if he yields, they added, noting there are four moot points between Rouhani and Khamenei.

First of those is that Khamenei is opposed to Rouhani's open policies towards the West.

'Khamenei refuses the policies of Rouhani. He refuses the nuclear deal signed with the world powers and refuses the efforts aiming to ending Tehran's isolation." Experts explained.

Yet, Khamenei is furious at Rouhani as he pledged to release all political prisoners placed under house arrest, including Mahdi Karrubi and Hassan Mosawi.

The Iranian president also refuses the massive financial bonuses given to the security apparatuses, on top of them comes the Iran Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC). 

Most importantly, Rouhani wants his purviews to increase. He feels he has no genuine influence. He is dwarfed by Khamenei's clout.

Therefore, experts say that the current spat between the two is due to the chronic problems caused by the very policies of the Mullah regime.

Khamenei will not change the regime, he will rather work to get rid of Rouhani to complete his plans without nuisances, they concluded.

Last Modified: Saturday، 17 June 2017 01:07 PM