Azeem Ibrahim is Senior Fellow at the Centre for Global Policy and Adj Research Professor at the Strategic Studies Institute, US Army War College. He completed his PhD from the University of Cambridge and served as an International Security Fellow at the Kennedy School of Government at Harvard and a World Fellow at Yale. Over the years he has met and advised numerous world leaders on policy development and was ranked as a Top 100 Global Thinker by the European Social Think Tank in 2010 and a Young Global Leader by the World Economic Forum.
The Syrian civil war is, to all intents and purposes, over. While there remains an area in the north of the country which continues to be occupied and administered by Turkey and another larger chunk of the northeast of the country administered by a de facto autonomous Kurdish authority, none of these major remaining parties is actively waging war with another. And the main forces opposing Bashar al-Assad — ISIS and the non-ISIS Sunni opposition — have already been comprehensively defeated.
As India and Pakistan are currently facing each other in the most dangerous border clashes over Kashmir in decades, the Saudi Crown Prince may be the man best placed to mediate between the two parties and broker a sustainable de-escalation.
Omar al-Bashir’s regime in Khartoum has been looking increasingly fragile since popular protests erupted toward the end of last year against the dire and deteriorating economic conditions in the country.
There is speculation that Muammar Qaddafi’s oldest son, Saif al-Islam, will shortly announce his candidacy for the Presidency of Libya in the 2019 election. And it appears that he has already secured on important ally in this quest: Vladimir Putin.